Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Democracy and the Euro

In the comments section of the WSJ's Democracy and the Euro:


Theodore Beckley: "Socialism is attractive to many people and very resilient. It’s like a religion."


Steve Fowler: "It is a substitute for religion. In it, government provides the sense of transcendence. Politics the dogma. Public and political events the liturgy. And heaven will be here on earth ... just over the rainbow.

It is a lousy religion, but it is a fanatical one ..."

Saturday, March 17, 2012

No Relief in Sight at Pump

How I responded to The Wall Street Journal article entitled "No Relief in Sight at Pump."

My response, which can be found in the comment section, is as follows:

"The problem is corrupt regulatory practices/policies and monetary growth orchestrated by the Federal Reserve. For regular readers of the WSJ we all know that the EPA's stifling regulations and hostility to private citizens have seriously contributed to this growing crisis - even way before the Obama administration. We also know that the debasement of the U.S. currency has contributed to rising oil prices. Yes, we all know this. Others may have insight into other aspects of the tightening of refinery production. However, those who make baseless, anti-intellectual accusations of "big oil" price manipulation, "oil companies gone wild" or some other half baked conspiracy theory of a de-regulated market have allowed themselves to betray their conscience and objective abilities to analyze cause and effect. You can ignore reality but you cannot ignore the consequences of ignoring reality.

"However, one topic that is often overlooked into this refinery squeeze and other industrial crises is the affect of artificial credit expansion by our banking system on the different stages of industrial production processes. An education in micro-economic temporal capital theory needs to be injected into this situation.

"As we all know in a modern economy consumer goods are the ends of a lengthy complex production process that requires ideas, time, capital goods, capital, labor, and scarce natural resources. Essentially, when demand drops off and voluntary savings picks up (people spending a lot less) business owners/capitalists pickup on those price signals and reroute capital goods and investment into the production processes most further from the final stages of consumer goods, which have now become less profitable because of the decrease in the interest rates associated with consumer goods. We then see production processes lengthened and widened as investment pours into capital goods most further from the consumer good stages creating new efficiencies and innovation throughout that particular industry (think about how the author of this article pointed out new pipelines needed to be built to meet demand - though part of lack of construction can be attributed to the regulatory scheme developed by anti-intellectuals). Capitalists may very possibly decide to increase their supply of present goods to others; that is they may decide to reinvest a greater percentage of their income they receive per period, acquiring capital goods and services as well as labor and natural resources. In that case, in the short run, their accounting profit margin will decrease, which is equivalent to a downward trend in the market interest rate. The profit margin falls as a result of an increase in monetary costs in relation to income. Capitalists are willing to temporarily accept this drop in profits, since they expect to generate in this way, in a more or less distant future, total profits larger those they would have earned had they not modified their behavior.

"However, once people start to increase their spending the production processes closest to consumer goods becomes more profitable. Of course, this is a simplification of an extraordinary complicated process that most important principals in understanding are time, capital theory, interest rates, and a critical analysis of monetary growth. If anyone takes anything away from this post, its in the final stage, the stage of consumer goods and services, the jump in voluntary saving invariably generates an initial drop in consumption (in monetary terms). However, the lengthening of the productive structure is followed by a substantial real increase in terms of quantity and quality in the production of consumer goods and services. Given that the monetary demand for these goods in invariably reduced, and given that these two effects (the drop in consumption and the upsurge in the production of consumer goods) exert similar influences, the increase in production gives rise to a sharp drop in the market prices of consumer goods. Ultimately this drop n prices makes it possible for a significant real rise in wages to occur, along with a general increase in all real income received by owners of the original means of production (labor).

"When the banking system injects artificial credit expansion from lending out customers' deposits - a violation of traditional legal principals - such an event can distort price signals, create malinvestment, and create products that people truly do not want. When credit expansion is induced from the banking and central banking system an industrial crisis will eventually ensue. The current refinery squeeze can partly be attributed to this scheme. As in all credit induced crisis six microeconomics causes of the reversal of the boom that credit expansion invariably triggers: (1) The rise in the price of the original means of production (labor and natural resources); (2) the subsequent rise in the price of consumer goods (hello oil!); (3) the substantial relative increase in the profits of the companies from the stages closest to final consumption; (4) the "Ricardo Effect" (please Google); (5) the increase in the loan rate of interest - rates even exceed precredit-expansion levels; and (6) the appearance of losses in companies operating in the stages relatively distant from consumption (think refineries): the inevitable advent of a crisis."

Thursday, October 27, 2011

The Divider vs. the Thinker

"Barack Obama is a dream. In 2008, the dream was hope and change. In 2012, it is progress, thwarted by evil partisans and selfish greed. As Gertrude Stein said “there is no there there.” He needs enemies to draw attention from his lack of depth, for he is truly a mile wide and an inch deep. He is an illusion; always appearing to be more than he is, always, more promise than reality. In the end, America suffers most from the machinations of the man who was never there."

- William L. Gensert

Wednesday, August 03, 2011

Understanding the Deficit Numbers

Even if you think that you understand the budget, deficit and debt crisis, I urge you to read this. It will reinforce your understanding dramatically and I hope make an impact . The Jones family Federal Budget 101. The U.S. Congress sets a federal budget every year in the trillions of dollars. Few people know how much money that is so we created a breakdown of federal spending in simple terms. Let's put the 2011 federal budget into perspective:

• U.S. income: $2,170,000,000,000
• Federal budget: $3,820,000,000,000
• New debt: $ 1,650,000,000,000
• National debt: $14,271,000,000,000
• Recent budget cut: $ 38,500,000,000 (about 1 percent of the budget)

It helps to think about these numbers in terms that we can relate to. Let's remove eight zeros from these numbers and pretend this is the household budget for the fictitious Jones family:

• Total annual income for the Jones family: $21,700
• Amount of money the Jones family spent: $38,200
• Amount of new debt added to the credit card: $16,500
• Outstanding balance on the credit card: $142,710
• Amount cut from the budget: $385

So in effect last month Congress, or in this example the Jones family, sat down at the kitchen table and agreed to cut $385 from its annual budget. What family would cut $385 of spending in order to solve $16,500 in deficit spending? It is a start, although hardly a solution. Now after years of this, the Jones family has $142,710 of debt on its credit card (which is the equivalent of the national debt). You would think the Jones family would recognize and address this situation, but it does not. Neither does Congress.

The root of the debt problem is that the voters typically do not send people to Congress to save money. They are sent there to bring home the bacon to their own home state. To effect budget change, we need to change the job description and give Congress new marching orders. It is awfully hard (but not impossible) to reverse course and tell the government to stop borrowing money from our children and spending it now.

In effect, what we have is a reverse mortgage on the country. The problem is that the voters have become addicted to the money. Moreover, the American voters are still in the denial stage, and do not want to face the possibility of going into rehab.
http://usdebt.kleptocracy.us

Sunday, July 31, 2011

Thanks to Professors Obama, Pelosi, Reid, Dodd, Frank, and Schumer

I don’t understand how you can be so hard on President Obama? Weren’t any of you here for the schooling of 2011? That year, thanks to professors Obama, Pelosi, Reid, Dodd, Frank, and Schumer, was the most explosive period of intellectual growth in my life. In that short year I came to understand some basic and fundamental truths of our new fundamentally changed America:

• Hard work is for suckers. Wait for someone else to produce something, find a way to cast yourself as their victim, and then take what you want.

• Successful people are evil because they show others that innovation, risk taking, and hard work leads to success. The people MUST believe that the government is COMPLETELY in control of each person’s success.

• Only idiots think that living within a budget is possible or practical. Intelligent people know that the federal budget is just part of a highly sophisticated system that must be ratcheted up from time to time. Passing legislation to limit the debt is just a polite custom that soothes that silly part of the public that still hold onto quaint ideas about the value of promises.

• If you are white, you should be ashamed. If you are also a male, you should be doubly ashamed. If you are also a small business owner who has the audacity to believe that what you earn is yours, you should just nip off and hang yourself.

• Children have no business being exposed to the teachings of their parents. It takes too long for professional teachers in our fine public schools to undo all the indoctrination received at home. The endless drivel spouted by parents about compassion, honor, responsibility, courage, kindness, and most importantly individual achievement would certainly ruin our culture if it were not for the tireless efforts of our public school teachers and especially their unions.

• There are two kinds of Americans: Democrats and racists.

• Christians are bad.

• 9% unemployment is a very good thing because it could have been 90% unemployment. The stimulus kept the unemployment to an unbelievably low rate. We should all be very, very thankful.

• The American Experiment is a very bad idea because it naturally discriminates against people with deficits of knowledge, energy, courage, honor, and tenacity. These are the VERY people that geniuses like John Rawls say that society should advocate. The American Experiment may create an incredibly high quality of life for society at large, but people in the lower socio-economic rungs naturally feel envy - no human should ever feel bad about their station in life or their accomplishments. The American Experiment is brutal idea from a brutal time.

• America has caused the world so much damage that we should just say we are sorry, tear up our completely outdated constitution, and beg the Muslim Brotherhood for guidance.

I can’t believe I was able to live with myself prior to 2011 – back then I was intellectually and morally bankrupt. But now I get it. Now, I am at peace. Now I can finally enjoy Bill Maher.

I really wish all of these unenlightened journalists would just lease a clue.

Saturday, April 30, 2011

DOWNSIZING THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT

A department-by-department guide to cutting the federal government's budget. http://bit.ly/efAW45
cedwards@cato.org, tdehaven@cato.org

Agriculture spent $142 billion in FY2010, $1,200 for every U.S. household;237 subsidy programs, 96,000 workers http://bit.ly/hlIQsL

Farm Subsidies: Sacred Cows No More http://on.wsj.com/eCkSle

Commerce spent $17 billion in FY2010, $140 for every U.S. household;53,000 workers, 97 different subsidy programs http://bit.ly/hu6E2n

Defense spent $677 billion in FY2010, $5,900 for every U.S. household; 2.3 million people, $240 billion on PRC http://bit.ly/frQmQ2

Education spent $107 billion in FY2010, $900 for every U.S. household; 4,100 workers, 169 different subsidy programs http://bit.ly/ijffg3

Energy spent $38 billion in 2010, $320 for every U.S. household;16,000 + 100,000 contractors, 35 subsidy programs.http://bit.ly/fJSXDI

HHS spent $869 billion in FY2010, $7,400 for every U.S. household; 65,000 workers and operates more than 400 programs http://bit.ly/ephnas

HUD spent $63 billion in FY2010, $530 for every U.S. household; employed 9,500 workers, 108 different subsidy programs http://bit.ly/gJFX6c

FY2011 Budget Chart for Selected HUD Programs (figures in millions)http://bit.ly/fenFjj

Transportation spent $91 billion in FY2010, $770 for every U.S. household;58,000 workers, 85 subsidy programs http://bit.ly/dSniFt

Coming Soon Homeland Security $55 billion

Interior $12 billion, employs about 70,000 people in approximately 2,400 locations with offices across the United States

Justice $26.7 billion, 111,464 positions

Monday, April 13, 2009

Revealing Data on Poverty

Interesting data on poverty in the city, state, and percent of people below the poverty level:

1. Detroit, MI 32.5%
2. Buffalo, NY 29.9%
3. Cincinnati, OH 27.8%
4. Cleveland, OH 27.0%
5. Miami, FL 26.9%
6. St. Louis, MO 26.8%
7. El Paso, TX 26.4%
8. Milwaukee, WI 26.2%
9. Philadelphia, PA 25.1%
10. Newark, NJ 24.2%

U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 American Community Survey, August 2007

What do the top ten cities (over 250,000) with the highest poverty rate all have in common?

Detroit, MI (1st on the poverty rate list) hasn't elected a Republican mayor since 1961;
Buffalo, NY (2nd) hasn't elected one since 1954;
Cincinnati, OH (3rd)...since 1984;
Cleveland, OH (4th)...since 1989;
Miami, FL (5th) has never had a Republican mayor;
St. Louis, MO (6th)....since 1949;
El Paso, TX (7th) has never had a Republican mayor;
Milwaukee, WI (8th)...since 1908;
Philadelphia, PA (9th)...since 1952;
Newark , NJ (10th)...since 1907.

Einstein once said, 'The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.'
It is the poor who habitually elect Democrats---yet they are still poor...

You cannot help the poor by destroying the rich. You cannot strengthen the weak by weakening the strong. You cannot bring about prosperity by discouraging thrift. You cannot lift the wage earner up by pulling the wage payer down. You cannot further the brotherhood of man by inciting class hatred. You cannot build character and courage by taking away people's initiative and independence. You cannot help people permanently by doing for them, what they could and should do for themselves.
- Abraham Lincoln